8 Dec 2011

What We Look For

Like many investors, we often get asked "what we look for" when evaluating startups. I recently did an interview (humblebrag) with Tarang Shah for his new book, "Venture Capitalists at Work" where he asked me that question.  (Incidentally the book is a great read to hear investors' stories and how they approach and work with founders.) In a nutshell, we look for "founder/market fit", which is an obvious play on Marc Andreessen's concept of "product/market fit." We look for founders who personify their product, business and ultimately their company. This can come in many flavors - building something for themselves; having a deep understanding of the market/industry dynamics; being a big-brained engineer and working on a super hard, challenging technical breakthrough, etc. Anyway, here's the excerpt:

What do you look for in the companies you back? What really stands out when you meet with these promising start-ups?

Lee: Our preference is for founders solving a problem for themselves. It’s more of a bottoms-up approach than looking at a market and saying, “There’s a big market.” There’s a lot of debate among investors whether markets or founders are more important. We look at founders first and hope that we back the ones that are only interested in solving interesting or hard problems. And those, in our experience, usually lead to big markets. Another advantage of a founder building a product or service to solve her own pain point is that she doesn’t have to do market research or focus groups—she is the target market.

And so I think what stands out in the promising founders is this genuine authenticity. It’s like the Supreme Court justice’s definition of pornography— you know it when you see it but you can’t define it. When a founder tells a life story about how they approached the problem, what it means to them and their vision for the future—that’s what we’re usually drawn to. It’s not always sufficient for success. There are many founders we backed who built something for themselves and didn’t succeed, but it could be sufficient to get an investment from us.

A couple of comments:

  • One thing I'd say is that solving interesting or hard problems doesn't always lead to big markets. In fact, in the majority of cases they don't. Probably a better way of saying this is that building for large, growing markets usually involves really hard problems to solve and that hard, complex, interesting problems attracts a certain type of personality.
  • Another point to emphasize is that this is not a perfect heuristic. Finding this "founder/market fit" is really hard - Chris Dixon wrote a great post (as usual) articulating the limitations of this. (love the circular linkage).
  • Finally, the "you know it when you see it" idea is really pretty much spot on for us and so is best illustrated by example. Listen to Jack Dorsey talk about what inspired him to create Twitter, or Dennis Crowley talk about his vision for Foursquare and how that evolved over the past ten years, and you'll get a good sense. It can be deceiving though to look at these two because they are the outliers - there are both many founders who are wildly successful and didn't fit this profile and many founders who absolutely fit this profile and didn't succeed.
  • Another great example for us is Daniel Gross, founder of Greplin. He's not as well-known as Jack or Dennis but his story was just as vivid for us when we first met him:

I had this very long list of things I thought would be cool. Greplin was always near the top. But my mistake at Y Combinator was not listening to my own intuition enough. There's the line "Wouldn't it be cool if this thing existed?" but those aren't often good ideas, because you're not the ideal user. It's also very hard to make a product when you're not the target audience. Because you have to make decisions along the way, and unless you would be the target user,, you're going to make the wrong decisions. Understanding that fact was my "a-ha" moment. Greplin was the one project idea I had for which I was the target audience. (link)

Again, there are a ton of limitations to this approach. It's virtually impossible to measure a person's drive or passion; the "scratch your own itch" heuristic doesn't always lead to - or even correlate with - large markets; and this "founder/market" fit isn't sufficient to build the business and the company even when you've found a large market. But it's the approach that I've learned from Ron over the years, and the one that really resonates with us.

26 Nov 2011

Eddie Murphy: The Rolling Stone Interview | Movies News | Rolling Stone

Woody Allen has that line "Rather than live on in the hearts and minds of my fellow man, I'd prefer to live on in my apartment." Is it any consolation that some of your work will live on after you die?
[Laughs] I love Woody Allen. Is it any consolation? This whole period of documenting an artist's work, movies, records, all this shit, it's 100 years old, if it's that. It's brand-new. Beethoven and those fuckers couldn't even listen to their shit, do you know how hard it was to find a mother­fucker with a violin that worked back then? And his stuff went through the ages. Technology has it to where they gonna play this stuff forever. But the reality is, all this shit turns into dust, everything is temporary. No matter what you do, if you're around here long enough, you'll wind up dribbling and shitting on yourself, and you won't even remember the shit you did. I saw this documentary on Ronald Reagan, and it was like, "Whoa." They say he came into the house, and he had the toy White House that he had taken out of a fish tank, and he goes, "I don't know what I'm doing with this, but I know it has something to do with me." He had even forgotten he was the president. No matter what you do, that shit is all getting turned into gobbledy­gook. In 200 years, it's all dust, and in 300 years, it ain't nothing, and in 1,000 years, it's like you wasn't even fucking here. But if you're really, really lucky, if you really did something special, you could hang around a little longer.

12 Feb 2011
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Taken with picplz at Bol Park in Palo Alto, CA.

14 Dec 2010

AdWeekMedia Digital Forecast for 2011

10 Dec 2010

Favorite quote

Your time is limited, so don’t waste it living someone else’s life. The only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven’t found it yet, keep looking. Don’t settle.

-steve jobs

22 Nov 2010

Patrick and I keep catching great banter in movies...

18 Nov 2010

Robert Rubin on making decisions

An important corollary to recognizing that decisions are about probabilities is that decisions should not be judged by outcomes but by the quality of the decision-making, though outcomes are certainly one useful input in that evaluation. Any individual decisions can be badly thought through, and yet be successful, or exceedingly well thought through, but be unsuccessful, because the recognized possibility of failure in fact occurs. But over time, more thoughtful decision-making will lead to better overall results, and more thoughtful decision-making can be encouraged by evaluating decisions on how well they were made rather than on outcome. In managing trading rooms, I always focused on evaluating and promoting traders not on their results alone, but also and very importantly, on the thinking that underlay their decisions. Unfortunately, this approach is not widely taken, much to the detriment of decision-making in both the private and public sectors.

 

2 Nov 2010

Actually, it's "Mr. Jackson"

Sometimes our rules make us sound entertainingly fusty. In a 2005 article on rap music and murder we had cause to refer repeatedly to 50 Cent. Not for us “Fiddy”, as he is sometimes dubbed by middle-aged journalists looking to get down wid the homies: in the last two paragraphs we fitted in four mentions of “Mr Cent”.

 

13 Oct 2010

Serenity Now. Insanity later.

P142

29 Sep 2010

Research Proves It: The Keys To Happiness Are Sleep, Booze, TV, And Shopping